1. 新疆大学地质与矿业工程学院
2. 深部岩土力学与地下工程国家重点实验室新疆大学研究基地
3. 中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院
纸质出版:2025
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[1]程立龙,张紫昭,吕倩俐,等.基于灰色关联法的新源县喀拉海依苏滑坡降雨事件响应研究[J].新疆大学学报(自然科学版中英文),2025,42(05):607-620.
[1]程立龙,张紫昭,吕倩俐,等.基于灰色关联法的新源县喀拉海依苏滑坡降雨事件响应研究[J].新疆大学学报(自然科学版中英文),2025,42(05):607-620. DOI: 10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2024.07.24.0001.
DOI:10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2024.07.24.0001.
伊犁河谷是新疆人口密集、环境和经济条件较好的重点发展区域,也是我国黄土滑坡广泛分布的地区之一.受气候、地形等因素影响,当地滑坡灾害频发,但降雨事件的滑坡响应尚未获得充分的监测数据论证.因此,本文以2021年4月至9月降雨期新源县喀拉海依苏滑坡的监测数据为基础,基于SPSSPro平台,采用数理统计和灰色关联分析方法,综合分析位移与降雨量、土壤含水率的相关性及关联程度,确定黄土-基岩型滑坡土壤含水率、垂直位移及水平位移对降雨的响应特征.结果表明:滑坡变形与降雨量、含水率具有较强的相关性,降雨入渗深度基本稳定在1.2~2.0 m;滑坡位移与降雨量的关联程度大于土壤含水率.
The Ili River Valley is a key development area in Xinjiang with dense population
favorable environmental and economic conditions
and one of the regions in China where loess landslides are widely distributed.Affected by factors such as climate and topography
landslide disasters occur frequently in this area
but the landslide response to rainfall events has not been fully demonstrated by monitoring data.Therefore
based on the monitoring data of the Karaheisu landslide in Xinyuan County during the rainfall period from April to September in 2021
and using the SPSSPro platform
this study employs mathematical statistics and grey correlation analysis methods to comprehensively analyze the correlation and association degree between displacement and rainfall amount
soil water content
and determine the response characteristics of soil water content
vertical displacement
and horizontal displacement of loess-bedrock landslides to rainfall.The results show that landslide deformation has a strong correlation with rainfall amount and water content
with the rainfall infiltration depth basically stabilized at 1.2~2.0 m;the degree of association between landslide displacement and rainfall amount is greater than that with soil water content.
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