何卫仙, 孙慧, 欧娜. 新疆FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究[J]. Journal of Xinjiang University (Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English), 2011, 28(1): 9-13.DOI:
新疆FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究
摘要
本文利用新疆1985~2008年的年度经济数据
对新疆外商直接投资(FDI)、对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究:协整检验结果表明
新疆FDI、对外贸易和经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系;Granger因果检验发现
FDI与经济增长、出口与经济增长、FDI与进口分别存在双向因果关系;脉冲响应函数分析和方差分解显示
从长期来看经济增长对FDI、出口和进口的动态影响都表现为正向响应
但FDI、进出口对GDP的影响力度并不大.
Abstract
Based on the annual economic data of 1985~2008
this paper analyzes the effects to FDI
imports and exports in the economic growth of Xinjiang province by co-integration theory and Granger causality tests.The empirical analysis results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relation among FDI
international trade and economic growth
and a two-way causality between FDI and GDP
export and GDP
FDI and import.Besides
in long run
the dynamic impact response of economic growth on FDI and foreign trade is positive.