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新疆气象科学研究所!新疆乌鲁木齐830002,新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830011
Published:2000
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[1]袁玉江,叶玮.天山西部伊梨地区近四十年来的冷暖变化[J].新疆大学学报(自然科学版),2000(04):66-72+78.
袁玉江, 叶玮. 天山西部伊梨地区近四十年来的冷暖变化[J]. Journal of Xinjiang University (Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English), 2000, (4).
利用多种数理统计方法分析天山西部伊梨地区近 4 0多年来的冷暖变化
计算该区温度序列和相邻地区及大范围温度序列的相关性
主要得到以下几点结论 :1)伊梨地区年与四季的区域平均温度序列
在近 4 0多年来具有各自不同的冷暖阶段、变化周期及极端冷暖年份 .2 )伊梨地区冬季、年及夏季平均温度序列
均具有明显的增温趋势
其中以冬季增温率为最大
年及夏季增温率较小 .3)伊梨地区 1966~ 1995年来的三个十年
冬季及年十年平均温度不断上升
与新疆其它地区大体相一致 .4 )伊梨地区年与四季的平均温度与北疆其它地区、南疆、东疆、甘肃、青海、全国及中亚地区表现出了不同程度的相关性
In the paper
using statistical methods
the warm cold changes for recent 40 years in Yili region in the western of Tianshan mountain are analyzed
the correlation of temperature series among in the region
in near region and in large extent areas are computed
kand several conclusions obtained as follows:1)Regional mean temperature series in Yili region in annual in four seasons have different warm cold stages
change periods and extreme warm cold years.2) The mean temperature series in Yili region in winter
annual and summer have significant warming trend
and warming ration in winter is greatest
but less in annual and in summer.3)For three decades during 1966~1995 in Yili region
the decade temperature in winter and in annual have increased
which mainly agree with that in other regions of Xinjiang.4)The mean temperatures in annual and in four seasons in Yili region have some correlation with that other regions
such as areas in the Northern of Xinjiang
the Southern of Xinjiang
the Eastern of Xijiang
Gansu Province
Qinghai Province
China and Middle Asia.
林学椿 ,于淑秋 ,唐国利 .中国近百年温度序列 [J].大气科学 ,1995,19( 5) :52 4 - 534 .
[2 ] 国家科学技术委员会 .中国科学技术蓝皮书第 5号气候 [M].北京 :科学技术文献出版社 ,1990 .130150 .
袁玉江 ,何清 ,李江风 ,等 ,塔克拉玛干地区近 4 0 a来的冷暖变化 [J].中国沙漠 ,1998,18( 2 ) :118- 119.
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