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1. 中国石油大学(北京)克拉玛依校区工学院
2. 中国科学院大连化学物理研究所
3. 深圳职业技术大学电子与通信工程学院
4. 新疆大学化工学院
Published:2025
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[1]梁金强,刘丹竹,许孝玲,等.基于LMDI分解模型的乙烯消费需求驱动因素分析[J].新疆大学学报(自然科学版中英文),2025,42(05):513-524.
[1]梁金强,刘丹竹,许孝玲,等.基于LMDI分解模型的乙烯消费需求驱动因素分析[J].新疆大学学报(自然科学版中英文),2025,42(05):513-524. DOI: 10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2024.10.30.0001.
DOI:10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2024.10.30.0001.
乙烯消费与经济发展息息相关,分析乙烯消费需求变化能够更好地理解经济发展和乙烯产业结构布局.以我国乙烯消费需求驱动因素为目标,采用对数平均迪氏指数(LMDI)分解模型开展乙烯消费需求驱动因素定量研究,探索乙烯消费需求与经济、环境、人口等之间的脱钩关系,阐明乙烯消费强度效应、乙烯购买力效应、投资再分配效应、人口效应、结构效应对乙烯消费需求的影响,揭示乙烯下游衍生产品对乙烯消费需求的拉动作用.为我国乙烯消费需求的市场变化提供定量分析,为乙烯产业合理布局及乙烯下游产品链延伸提供数据支撑.
Ethylene consumption is closely related to economic development.Analysing shifts in ethylene demand provides deeper insights into economic growth and the structural layout of the ethylene industry.Focusing on the drivers of ethylene consumption demand in China
employing the logarithmic mean Divisia index(LMDI)decomposition model to quantitatively analyze the drivers of ethylene consumption demand.The decoupling relationships between ethylene consumption demand and economy
environment and population are explored
the influence among ethylene consumption intensity effect
ethylene purchasing power effect
investment redistribution effect
population effect
structure effect and ethylene consumption demand drivers are clarified
and the pulling role of ethylene downstream derivative products on ethylene consumption demand is revealed.This paper provides quantitative analysis for the market changes in China's ethylene consumption demand
and offers data support for the rational layout of the ethylene industry and the extension of the downstream ethylene product chain.
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